MERICS China Forecast 2025
Jan 15, 2025 14:00 - 16:00
The recording of the MERICS Forecast 2025 is also available at this link.
The year 2024 brought significant developments, including the results of elections in the U.S., the EU, and Taiwan; shifts in EU-China relations such as the new EU Commission mandate and tariffs on China-made EVs; and various Chinese efforts to redirect its domestic economy.
To anticipate what the coming year might have in store for us, we hosted our 6th MERICS China Forecast conference on Wednesday, January 15 in collaboration with our media partner Politico.
As we step into 2025, marked by the return of Donald Trump to the White House and heightened uncertainties, the recalibration of the transatlantic partnership, the future of China-EU relations, and other geopolitical challenges are set to continue shaping international relations. MERICS presented findings from our annual survey among leading European experts and professionals on key developments in Europe-China relations. A prominent line-up of high-level speakers shared their expectations for the turbulent months ahead.
The event was live streamed.
The MERICS China Forecast 2025 is part of the “Dealing with a Resurgent China” (DWARC) project, which has received funding from the European Union’s Horizon Europe research and innovation programme under grant agreement number 101061700.
Views and opinions expressed are however those of the participants only and do not necessarily reflect those of the European Union. Neither the European Union nor the granting authority can be held responsible for them.
MERICS Forecast 2025 Agenda
14:00 Welcome and introduction by Mikko Huotari, Executive Director, MERICS
14:05 Live survey
14:10 Keynote
- Niclas Kvarnstroem, Managing Director for Asia and the Pacific, EEAS
14:20 Panel 1 – “Which political, economic and social trends will shape China’s trajectory in 2025?”
- Corinne Abele, Shanghai Correspondent, Germany Trade & Invest
- Katja Drinhausen, Head of Program “Politics & Society”, MERICS
- Alicia Garcia Herrero, Senior Fellow, Bruegel
- Manoj Kewalramani, Research Fellow, Takshashila Institution
Moderator: Claudia Wessling, Director Communications and Publications, MERICS
15:00 Presentation of Forecast Survey results by Andreas Mischer, Analyst, MERICS
15:10 Panel 2 – “What’s ahead for European China policy in light of changing transatlantic dynamics?”
- Elena Suárez Sánchez, Senior Adviser, BusinessEurope
- Julia Friedlander, CEO, Atlantik-Brücke
- Matt Turpin, Visiting Fellow, Hoover Institution
Moderator: Jordyn Dahl, Reporter, POLITICO
15:55 Closing remarks by Mikko Huotari
16:00 End of conference
